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Footballguys notes

Pulled through your Footballguys Pro login. Footballguys' consensus projections are now the primary projection source in the optimizer (399 of the top players), with Sleeper/Rotowire as the fallback. Footballguys projects games played (most starters 14.8-15.8), so their numbers already bake in injury risk; the FFPC rescoring (1.5 PPR TE, 4-pt pass TD) is applied on top.

Footballguys Online Championship ADP (Sep 10, Clayton Gray)

The FBG Online Championship runs on the NFFC platform, so its ADP is a high-stakes cross-check rather than FFPC data. Notable moves in the last week:

  • Risers: Quinshon Judkins (54), Caleb Williams (84, QB5), Chuba Hubbard (100), Emmett Johnson (132), Malik Davis (169, +18), Kaleb Johnson (201, +15), Jacob Saylors (217, +34 after Pacheco to IR).
  • Fallers: TreVeyon Henderson (69, -7), Jonathon Brooks (75, -9), Josh Jacobs (109, -22), Jakobi Meyers (114), Isiah Pacheco (221, -36), Travis Hunter (228, -19).
  • Top 12 there: Gibbs, Bijan, Chase, Nacua, JSN, St. Brown, McCaffrey, Taylor, Cook, Lamb, Jefferson, Chase Brown. Bowers is TE1 at 19, McBride 28, Loveland 44, Warren 55, Kraft 74, Pitts 82, LaPorta 94, Fannin 96, Kittle 102. FFPC's own ADP has the TEs 5-10 picks earlier because of the 1.5 PPR.

Dave Kluge rest-of-season rankings (Sep 8, full PPR)

Top of each position as he ranks them: QB Allen, L. Jackson, Maye, Burrow, Herbert, C. Williams, Daniels, Lawrence, Purdy, Hurts, Prescott, Murray, Nix. RB Gibbs, Bijan, McCaffrey, Cook, Chase Brown, Taylor, Jeanty, Achane, Hampton, Barkley, Walker, Henry, Javonte, Kyren, Love, Hall, Swift, Etienne, Montgomery, Skattebo, Judkins, Irving, Price, Stevenson, J. Warren. WR Nacua, Chase, St. Brown, JSN, Jefferson, Lamb, London, Nabers, A.J. Brown, Collins, Rice, Flowers, DeVonta, Pickens, Olave, G. Wilson, DJ Moore, McMillan, Jameson Williams, Higgins, McConkey, Burden, Egbuka, McLaurin, Odunze. TE Bowers, McBride, Loveland, T. Warren, Pitts, Kraft, Kittle, LaPorta, Fannin, Kelce, Kincaid, Likely, Juwan Johnson, T. Ferguson, Goedert, Andrews. Notable vs FFPC ADP: Kluge has Chase Brown RB5 (ADP RB7), Jeanty RB7, Kyren RB14, Etienne RB18 (ADP ~37 overall), Pitts TE5, Kincaid/Likely inside the TE12.

Footballguys staff roundtable, Week 1 (Sep 10)

Wish they drafted more: DeVonta Smith (120+ freed targets after A.J. Brown left PHI), Ken Walker (full 3-down role in KC), Sam LaPorta (Petzing's TE-heavy offense; take him wherever you don't have McBride), Isaiah Likely (NYG two-TE offense), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX goal line), Kenny Gainwell (TB TDs), Chase Brown (workhorse in an elite offense), Colston Loveland ("WR1-level weekly numbers at TE"), David Montgomery (HOU volume), Rhamondre Stevenson (75% of playoff touches; Henderson out week 1), Jaylen Warren, Croskey-Merritt, the whole Chargers passing game (McConkey, Herbert, Quentin Johnston), Travis Etienne (bell cow in Kellen Moore's NO offense, round-4 ADP), Trevor Lawrence (QB10 price, top-5 finish last year), Jaylen Waddle (DEN, 100-catch upside). Wish they drafted less: Mike Evans (SF, injuries and crowded), Malik Nabers (ACL recovery, run-heavy NYG), Mark Andrews (new OC), Jeremiyah Love (tough run schedule, workload cap, ankle), Xavier Worthy, Brandon Aiyuk, Brock Bowers (opportunity cost, not talent), Josh Jacobs (exempt list), Breece Hall (nicked up, Geno), Egbuka (toe; Godwin back), Kyle Pitts (Tua looked bad), McCaffrey (413 touches will regress; Kaelon Black and Deebo take work), Omarion Hampton (Vidal/Mitchell roles; McConkey-centric scheme), Skattebo, Bucky Irving and Bhayshul Tuten (TD vultures Gainwell and Rodriguez), Jadarian Price (Holani has short yardage; Charbonnet back by November).

Sigmund Bloom week 1 tiers (Sep 10) — useful as a "who is trusted right now" read

  • TE: Elite: Loveland. High floor: McBride, Pitts, Kelce, Warren, Juwan Johnson, Likely, Michael Mayer (Bowers out), Fannin, Andrews. High ceiling: Kincaid, Kittle, LaPorta, Strange, Kraft.
  • RB: Elite: Gibbs. Strong: McCaffrey, Bijan. High floor RB1: Javonte, Chase Brown, Cook. High ceiling RB1: Hall, Henry, Taylor, Barkley, Etienne, Achane. RB2: Walker, Hampton, Jeanty, Swift, Kyren.
  • WR: Elite: Chase, Nacua. High floor WR1: Olave, St. Brown. High ceiling WR1: DJ Moore, McConkey, Higgins, Flowers. WR2: Parker Washington, Jameson Williams, Burden, Collins, McMillan, Pickens, Jefferson, G. Wilson, Lamb.

Also on Footballguys (not pulled in full)

Draft Dominator (app with FFPC scoring presets), NFFC Draft Tools (NFFC only), Rate My Team, "Player Bid Values for Pre-Week 1 Waiver Wire Runs" (Bloom, for your $1,000 FAAB after the draft), and Kluge's full 2026 draft guide (summarized in the next section).