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Sharp Six

NFL Week 9

Sleeper is where you play. ESPN is where you watch.Sharp Six is where you decide.

Every call measured against 375 real high-stakes leagues, with the reason attached.

Start/sit · week 9

Start Joe Burrow over Josh Allen

Joe Burrow
28.3
Josh Allen
21.5

The raw projections have Josh Allen ahead by 0.8. Adjusted for matchup, Vegas, injury and weather it is 28.3 against 21.5 — a 6.8 point swing, the widest at any position this week.

Open start/sitJoe Burrow

The slate · week 9

The wire

Circa Survivor

NFL Week 9picks close Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM PT

Entries alive
610
of 25,017 at the start
Per live entry
$41,011
$25.0M pool. A statistic, not a valuation.
Out in NFL Week 8
50

The Sharp Model’s pick

SEA

85.2% to win, ~58.5% of the field on them (modelled until Circa publishes the leg)

SEA is also the field’s most-picked team, on ~58.5% of entries.

Top of the board, by season survival

The top five of the Circa Survivor board by season survival, with win probability and share of the field
TeamWinFieldSeason survival
SEAPick85.2%~58.5%1.91%
SF80.8%~3.1%1.81%
KC81.7%~7.3%1.77%
DET74.8%~7.4%1.64%
JAX80.8%~9.1%1.61%

Last leg · NFL Week 8

50 of 660 entries went out, most of them with:

  • DAL497.4%
  • NYJ10.2%

Today’s Six

Follow @sharpsixsports on Instagram and X. Today’s Six posts every morning, Circa Survivor every Thursday and The Record every Tuesday.

Leagues
375
Teams
4,500

This week has not kicked off yet — scores land the morning after the games.

Updated 26 h ago

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