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Sharp Six

ATL at PIT

Week 1 · Final

Away

ATL

Atlanta Falcons

13

Home

PIT

Pittsburgh Steelers

20

The line it closed on

Spread

PIT −6.5

Total 40.5

Implied points

ATL
17.0
PIT
23.5

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on PIT. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

ATL at PIT

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET★★☆☆☆

ATL +6.5

Wrong · −0.5

Market PIT −6.5 over ATL. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 2.0 toward ATL. Our number ATL +4.5, an edge of +2.0 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · ATL +2.0· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 2 toward ATL.

Final: ATL 13 at PIT 20

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

Atlanta Falcons

No start/sit calls for ATL in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Pittsburgh Steelers

No start/sit calls for PIT in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.