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Sharp Six

BAL at IND

Week 1 · Final

Away

BAL

Baltimore Ravens

41

Home

IND

Indianapolis Colts

23

The lineThe pickStart/sitPropsTakes

The line it closed on

Every book on the game lines

Spread

BAL −3

Total 48.5

Implied points

BAL
25.8
IND
22.8

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on IND. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

On the picks page

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

BAL at IND

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

IND +3

Wrong · −15.0

Market BAL −3 over IND. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 0.6 toward IND. Our number IND +2.4, an edge of +0.6 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · IND +0.6· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 0.6 toward IND.

Final: BAL 41 at IND 23

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

FFPC scoring. Other scoring on the weekly rankings

Baltimore Ravens

No start/sit calls for BAL in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Indianapolis Colts

No start/sit calls for IND in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Player props

This game on the props board

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.

Takes

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