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Sharp Six

CHI at CAR

Week 1 · Final

Away

CHI

Chicago Bears

59

Home

CAR

Carolina Panthers

37

The line it closed on

Spread

CHI −3

Total 47.5

Implied points

CHI
25.3
CAR
22.3

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on CAR. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

CHI at CAR

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

CAR +3

Wrong · −19.0

Market CHI −3 over CAR. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 1.4 toward CAR. Our number CAR +1.6, an edge of +1.4 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · CAR +1.4· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 1.4 toward CAR.

Final: CHI 59 at CAR 37

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

Chicago Bears

No start/sit calls for CHI in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Carolina Panthers

No start/sit calls for CAR in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.