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Sharp Six

CLE at JAX

Week 1 · Final

Away

CLE

Cleveland Browns

10

Home

JAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

34

The line it closed on

Spread

JAX −8.5

Total 40.5

Implied points

CLE
16.0
JAX
24.5

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on JAX. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

CLE at JAX

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET★★☆☆☆

CLE +8.5

Wrong · −15.5

Market JAX −8.5 over CLE. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 2.0 toward CLE. Our number CLE +6.5, an edge of +2.0 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · CLE +2.0· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 2 toward CLE.

Final: CLE 10 at JAX 34

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

Cleveland Browns

No start/sit calls for CLE in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Jacksonville Jaguars

No start/sit calls for JAX in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.