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Sharp Six

DEN at KC

Week 1 · Final

Away

DEN

Denver Broncos

10

Home

KC

Kansas City Chiefs

31

The lineThe pickStart/sitPropsTakes

The line it closed on

Every book on the game lines

Spread

KC −2.5

Total 42.5

Implied points

DEN
20.0
KC
22.5

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on KC. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

On the picks page

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

DEN at KC

Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

DEN +2.5

Wrong · −18.5

Market KC −2.5 over DEN. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 0.1 toward DEN. Our number DEN +2.4, an edge of +0.1 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · DEN +0.1· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 0.1 toward DEN.

Final: DEN 10 at KC 31

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

FFPC scoring. Other scoring on the weekly rankings

Denver Broncos

No start/sit calls for DEN in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Kansas City Chiefs

No start/sit calls for KC in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Player props

This game on the props board

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.

Takes

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