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Sharp Six

TB at CIN

Week 1 · Final

Away

TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

27

Home

CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

33

The line it closed on

Spread

CIN −3.5

Total 50.5

Implied points

TB
23.5
CIN
27.0

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

No forecast stored for this game yet.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on CIN. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

TB at CIN

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

TB +3.5

Wrong · −2.5

Market CIN −3.5 over TB. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 0.1 toward TB. Our number TB +3.4, an edge of +0.1 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · TB +0.1· wrong
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 0.1 toward TB.

Final: TB 27 at CIN 33

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

No start/sit calls for TB in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

Cincinnati Bengals

No start/sit calls for CIN in week 1 yet. They land with the Tuesday run.

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.