Drew Lock is the week 3 sleeper
Players under 25% ownership across the FFPC field, and what to do with them.
Drew Lock at 0% owned is projected for 20.5 points this week, which is a better number than most starting quarterbacks will post while owned everywhere. He's not a story, he's a lineup fix for anyone whose flex or QB spot is a shrug. Jack Bech rounds out the other half of this column at -55.8 VORP, the least bad of eight replacement-level names for a dead bench spot. Start Lock if you need him, grab Bech if your bench needs a pulse, and skip both if your roster is already fine.
This week's lineup
Start one of these this week
- Under
- 25% owned
- Names
- 6
These are not upside plays, they are lineup plays the field has not got to yet. Drew Lock leads them on 20.5 adjusted points at 0% ownership, and the 5 names under him all clear their position's flex line. Start one if your flex is a coin flip. If it is not, leave them where they are.
- Drew LockQB · SEA
Nobody in the field has him and he adjusts to 20.5 points anyway. WAS allows the 3rd most to QBs.
- Proj
- 20.5
- Floor
- 14.4
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Owned
- 0%
- Tier
- start
- Geno SmithQB · NYJ
2.13% of the field has him and he adjusts to 19.3 points anyway. DET allows the 1st most to QBs.
- Proj
- 19.3
- Floor
- 13.5
- Ceiling
- 27.1
- Owned
- 2.13%
- Tier
- flex
- Cooper KuppWR · SEA
18.13% of the field has him and he adjusts to 7.8 points anyway. WAS allows the 4th most to WRs.
- Proj
- 7.8
- Floor
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 13.2
- Owned
- 18.13%
- Tier
- flex
- Keon ColemanWR · BUF
6.67% of the field has him and he adjusts to 7.5 points anyway. Implied 28.8 team points.
- Proj
- 7.5
- Floor
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Owned
- 6.67%
- Tier
- flex
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · KC
Effectively nobody has him, at 1.07% of the field and he adjusts to 7 points anyway. Implied 29.0 team points.
- Proj
- 7
- Floor
- 3.9
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Owned
- 1.07%
- Tier
- flex
- AJ DillonRB · CAR
Nobody in the field has him and he adjusts to 4.5 points anyway. Range 2.7 to 7.0 points.
- Proj
- 4.5
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 7
- Owned
- 0%
- Tier
- flex
After this week
Worth the roster spot
- Under
- 25% owned
- Names
- 8
Every number here is negative, and that is the honest read: anyone still available in a 12-team Main Event is, by definition, worse than a starter. What separates these 8 is how much worse. Jack Bech is the smallest gap on the board at -55.8 points. Use the spot on him if your bench is dead weight. If it is not, none of this is urgent.
- Jack BechWR · LV
WR78 the rest of the way on 88.6 points, 23.6 of them over the next four weeks, at 9.07% ownership.
- VORP
- -55.8
- ROS
- 88.6
- Next 4
- 23.6
- Owned
- 9.07%
- Demand
- warm
- Germie BernardWR · PIT
WR81 the rest of the way on 87.3 points, 23.3 of them over the next four weeks, at 12.8% ownership.
- VORP
- -57.1
- ROS
- 87.3
- Next 4
- 23.3
- Owned
- 12.8%
- Demand
- warm
- Emanuel WilsonRB · SEA
RB60 the rest of the way on 58.4 points, 15.3 of them over the next four weeks, at 3.2% ownership.
- VORP
- -58.9
- ROS
- 58.4
- Next 4
- 15.3
- Owned
- 3.2%
- Demand
- cold
- Mason TaylorTE · NYJ
TE33 the rest of the way on 102.7 points, 27.4 of them over the next four weeks, at 6.67% ownership.
- VORP
- -61.3
- ROS
- 102.7
- Next 4
- 27.4
- Owned
- 6.67%
- Demand
- cold
- Joshua PalmerWR · BUF
Effectively nobody has him, at 0.53% of the field, and he is still WR87 the rest of the way on 82.4 points.
- VORP
- -62.0
- ROS
- 82.4
- Next 4
- 21.5
- Owned
- 0.53%
- Demand
- cold
- Tory HortonWR · SEA
WR88 the rest of the way on 81.2 points, 21.2 of them over the next four weeks, at 2.13% ownership.
- VORP
- -63.2
- ROS
- 81.2
- Next 4
- 21.2
- Owned
- 2.13%
- Demand
- cold
- Elic AyomanorWR · TEN
Effectively nobody has him, at 0.27% of the field, and he is still WR89 the rest of the way on 81 points.
- VORP
- -63.4
- ROS
- 81
- Next 4
- 22.5
- Owned
- 0.27%
- Demand
- cold
- Isaiah DavisRB · NYJ
Effectively nobody has him, at 0.53% of the field, and he is still RB65 the rest of the way on 53.4 points.
- VORP
- -63.9
- ROS
- 53.4
- Next 4
- 14
- Owned
- 0.53%
- Demand
- cold
