SEA at WAS
Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET★★★☆☆WAS +7
Market SEA −7 over WAS. The market’s own numbers make this line 7.5 points too kind to SEA. Results add 2.0 toward SEA. Our number WAS +1.5, an edge of +5.5 before the signals. Line now WAS +7.5.
- Ratings · WAS +5.5
- Public · WAS +1.0
- Quarterback · SEA +4.0
- The market's own numbers make this line 7.5 points too kind to SEA; results move the number 2 toward SEA, from WAS giving 0.5 to SEA to SEA giving 1.5 to WAS.
- 94% of the spread money is on SEA. That is a point to WAS.
- WAS's top quarterback, Jayden Daniels, is listed Out.
SEA giving 7 to WAS is the number, and it's wrong by 5.5 points according to the market's own numbers, which peg this closer to SEA giving 1.5. Add in that 94% of the spread money is piled on SEA, a point in WAS's favor by itself, and you've got two signals stacked the same direction. The counterweight is real: Jayden Daniels is out, worth 4 points to SEA, but it isn't enough to close a 5.5-point gap. Take WAS at 7, three stars, and don't let the quarterback news talk you out of math that already priced it in.
From the Sharp Model, off the numbers on this card and nothing else.
Line history4 pulls
WAS: opened +6.5 · taken at +7 · now +7.5
The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on our side. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.