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Sharp Six

Level 3 Offender Main 2

Main Event ONLINE (Jul 17 9:00 PM) #118745 · league 118745 · slot 4 · Theodore Rokas · drafted Jul 17, 9:00 PM ET

Playoffs: 55% (up 16 since Week 7)

As of Week 8. The Sharp Model plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times from each roster’s projections, this league’s fixed schedule and FFPC’s seeding rules. Expected prize money is the average across those seasons, not a forecast of what a team will win. There is no backtest yet: this is the first season we have run it.

Lineup · week 91 change from the recommended lineupStart/sit
Top waiver targetJaxson Dart$63–$100Waiver wire
On byePat Freiermuth, PIT Team Defense20 on the roster

Roster

best lineup projects 2085.7 pts
PlayerRdPosNFLProj
1WRLAR313.5
2RBKC245.0
3TEIND242.6
4WRWAS213.8
5RBCLE197.0
6WRNO111.0
7RBWAS129.1
8QBWAS345.0
9RBCHI155.6
10WRGB170.0
11TELAC169.8
12RBJAX133.5
13WRWAS75.2
14WRNYJ127.1
15TEPIT153.9
16WRSF128.4
PIT Team Defense
17DEFPIT88.0
18KSF101.0
19RBBAL30.1
20TELAR90.8

Weekly results

WeekPointsLeague rankLeft on bench
1146.3544.5
2116.7915.7
3136.2419.7
4150.2428.9
5153.7437.2
6138.6239.1
7126.0635.8
8147.1310.8

“Left on bench” compares what was started against the best lineup from the drafted roster. Phase 1 does not track waivers or trades, so a week with roster moves can read high.

Schedule

WkOpponentScoreResult
1@ Dreaming of Sundays146.30–99.40W
2vs On Deck116.70–159.70L
3@ McDrudele136.15–174.90L
4vs TRUNK MONKEY150.15–191.75L
5@ It’s apparent what’s going on 153.65–153.05W
6All-play week138.60W
7vs Fantasy Sopranos-23125.95–79.10W
8vs Big Barracuda147.05–114.95W
9vs Vae Victis XI–Upcoming
10vs Jimbo 2”–Upcoming
11vs Hammerheads 21–Upcoming
12vs M14–Upcoming
SeedTeamW–LPlayoffsPFPAGBStreak
1 · paidHammerheads 217–199%1227.45913.20–L1
2 · paidMcDrudele6–299%1215.751030.401W2
3Level 3 Offender Main 2 (this team)5–355%1114.55972.852W4
4TRUNK MONKEY4–479%1199.201025.803L2
5Jimbo 2”4–453%1146.35882.303W1
6Big Barracuda4–44%1012.60870.903L1
7M144–44%1003.15838.253W2
8Fantasy Sopranos-234–44%941.90955.653W1
9It’s apparent what’s going on 3–51%1021.251001.404L4
10Vae Victis XI3–51%1006.701083.404W2
11Dreaming of Sundays2–61%997.85914.605L3
12On Deck2–6<1%996.30915.305L2

Seeds follow the Main Event: 1-seed the best record, 2-seed the most points among the rest, then the next best record and the next most points. Seeds 1 and 2 are paid and go to the Championship Round. In the week 6 all-play, the top six scores win and every team tied with the sixth-best score takes a win. Records are ordered by win percentage, a tie counting half a win, and a tie on that goes to points for here; FFPC’s own tiebreak decides the real seed.

Core overlap

0 teams in the field share at least 7 of your first nine picks (0 share 8, 0 share 9), out of 4,499 other teams.