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Sharp Six

LV at LAC

Week 2 · Final

Away

LV

Las Vegas Raiders

26

Home

LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

14

The line it closed on

Spread

LAC −6.5

Total 43.5

Implied points

LV
18.5
LAC
25.0

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

Under a roof: no weather in the numbers.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on LAC. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

LV at LAC

Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET★★☆☆☆

LV +6.5

Right · +18.5

Market LAC −6.5 over LV. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 2.0 toward LV. Our number LV +4.5, an edge of +2.0 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · LV +2.0· right
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 2 toward LV.

Final: LV 26 at LAC 14

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 2

Las Vegas Raiders

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Kirk Cousins15.9Bench

Aidan O'Connell0.0Out

Fernando Mendoza0.0Avoid

RB
Ashton Jeanty16.0Must start

Mike Washington3.8Bench

Connor Heyward0.8Bench

Dylan Laube0.7Bench

Chris Collier0.0Out

Dare Ogunbowale0.0Avoid

Jalen Richard0.0Avoid

Roman Hemby0.0Avoid

WR
Tre Tucker8.8Start

Jalen Nailor7.8Flex

Jack Bech5.4Bench

Malik Benson2.3Bench

Cody White0.5Avoid

Dareke Young0.4Avoid

Corey Rucker0.0Out

Deven Thompkins0.0Avoid

Dont'e Thornton0.0Out

Justin Shorter0.0Out

Ronnie Bell0.0Avoid

TE
Michael Mayer11.1Start

Ian Thomas2.8Avoid

Brock Bowers0.0Out

Carter Runyon0.0Out

Chris Myarick0.0Avoid

Patrick Gurd0.0Avoid

K
Matt Gay7.2Start

Kansei Matsuzawa0.0Avoid

Los Angeles Chargers

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Justin Herbert19.3Flex

DJ Uiagalelei0.0Avoid

Trey Lance0.0Avoid

RB
Omarion Hampton13.0Start

Keaton Mitchell5.8Flex

Kimani Vidal0.7Bench

Amar Johnson0.0Avoid

Gregory Desrosiers0.0Avoid

WR
Ladd McConkey13.1Must start

Quentin Johnston9.8Start

Tre' Harris7.1Flex

Brenen Thompson1.3Bench

Derius Davis0.2Avoid

Gary Jennings0.0Avoid

KeAndre Lambert-Smith0.0Out

KJ Hill0.0Avoid

Marquez Valdes-Scantling0.0Avoid

Theo Wease0.0Avoid

TE
Oronde Gadsden5.1Bench

Charlie Kolar3.9Bench

David Njoku0.0Out

Evan Svoboda0.0Avoid

Hayden Rucci0.0Avoid

Patrick Herbert0.0Avoid

K
Cameron Dicker7.4Must start

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.