MIA at SF
Sun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET★☆☆☆☆SF −12.5
Right · +9.5Market SF −12.5 over MIA. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 0.8 toward MIA. Our number SF −11.7, an edge of −0.8 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.
- Ratings · MIA +0.8· wrong
- Rest · SF +1.5· right
- Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 0.8 toward MIA.
- SF come in on 10 days' rest to MIA's 7.
Final: MIA 13 at SF 35
Line history
Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.
A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.