Moneyball
Main Event ONLINE (Jul 24 9:00 PM) #120211 · league 120211 · slot 7 · James Hutchinson · drafted Jul 24, 9:00 PM ET
Playoffs: 90% (down 1 since Week 7)
As of Week 8. The Sharp Model plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times from each roster’s projections, this league’s fixed schedule and FFPC’s seeding rules. Expected prize money is the average across those seasons, not a forecast of what a team will win. There is no backtest yet: this is the first season we have run it.
Roster
best lineup projects 2087.2 pts| Player | Rd | Pos | NFL | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | SEA | 285.6 | |
| 2 | RB | KC | 245.0 | |
| 3 | WR | PHI | 229.2 | |
| 4 | WR | NYG | 236.7 | |
| 5 | TE | ATL | 204.6 | |
| 6 | WR | ARI | 186.2 | |
| 7 | RB | TEN | 161.1 | |
| 8 | QB | PHI | 346.8 | |
| 9 | RB | MIN | 138.1 | |
| 10 | RB | WAS | 128.9 | |
| 11 | TE | NYJ | 120.2 | |
| 12 | RB | DET | 54.6 | |
| 13 | RB | NO | 64.0 | |
| 14 | RB | LV | 97.5 | |
| 15 | WR | HOU | 85.2 | |
| 16 | RB | SF | 72.7 | |
| 17 | WR | KC | 94.5 | |
| 18 | WR | SF | 49.6 | |
| 19 | K | CIN | 106.0 | |
NYG Team Defense | 20 | DEF | NYG | 86.0 |
Weekly results
| Week | Points | League rank | Left on bench |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 148.6 | 4 | 32.7 |
| 2 | 161.7 | 4 | 13.8 |
| 3 | 149.1 | 2 | 23.4 |
| 4 | 140.8 | 7 | 29.2 |
| 5 | 126.9 | 10 | 39.2 |
| 6 | 195.1 | 1 | 15.1 |
| 7 | 158.7 | 2 | 14.3 |
| 8 | 102.5 | 10 | 13.4 |
“Left on bench” compares what was started against the best lineup from the drafted roster. Phase 1 does not track waivers or trades, so a week with roster moves can read high.
Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs GREMMINGER | 148.55–148.05 | W |
| 2 | vs Golden Tanks | 161.70–133.30 | W |
| 3 | vs AJ2 | 149.05–121.45 | W |
| 4 | vs Hammerheads 25 | 140.75–122.20 | W |
| 5 | vs Vegas Amateur | 126.90–120.75 | W |
| 6 | All-play week | 195.05 | W |
| 7 | @ Jimbo 5” | 158.65–115.80 | W |
| 8 | @ Hooks1 | 102.55–196.50 | L |
| 9 | @ Manchild | – | Upcoming |
| 10 | @ Gino Calvintino | – | Upcoming |
| 11 | @ DC Leed IX | – | Upcoming |
| 12 | @ M15 | – | Upcoming |
League
Full league →| SeedTeam | W–L | Playoffs | PF | PA | GB | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · paidMoneyball (this team) | 7–1 | 90% | 1183.20 | 958.05 | – | L1 |
| 2 · paidJimbo 5” | 6–2 | 95% | 1250.75 | 981.20 | 1 | W1 |
| 3Hooks1 | 5–3 | 92% | 1179.10 | 921.40 | 2 | W3 |
| 4GREMMINGER | 4–4 | 83% | 1186.45 | 986.20 | 3 | L1 |
| 5Golden Tanks | 5–3 | 13% | 1088.55 | 924.05 | 2 | L1 |
| 6Manchild | 5–3 | 15% | 1075.10 | 820.35 | 2 | W2 |
| 7Gino Calvintino | 4–4 | 1% | 1035.65 | 961.00 | 3 | L1 |
| 8M15 | 3–5 | 5% | 1073.25 | 1051.45 | 4 | W1 |
| 9Hammerheads 25 | 3–5 | <1% | 1016.05 | 920.80 | 4 | W1 |
| 10AJ2 | 2–6 | 4% | 1092.65 | 1104.05 | 5 | L2 |
| 11DC Leed IX | 2–6 | 2% | 1009.50 | 973.80 | 5 | W1 |
| 12Vegas Amateur | 2–6 | <1% | 965.80 | 1013.05 | 5 | L2 |
Seeds follow the Main Event: 1-seed the best record, 2-seed the most points among the rest, then the next best record and the next most points. Seeds 1 and 2 are paid and go to the Championship Round. In the week 6 all-play, the top six scores win and every team tied with the sixth-best score takes a win. Records are ordered by win percentage, a tie counting half a win, and a tie on that goes to points for here; FFPC’s own tiebreak decides the real seed.
Core overlap
0 teams in the field share at least 7 of your first nine picks (0 share 8, 0 share 9), out of 4,499 other teams.