NYJ at DET
Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET★★★☆☆DET −6.5
Market DET −6.5 over NYJ. The market’s own numbers make this line 3.2 points too kind to NYJ. Results add 2.0 toward NYJ. Our number DET −7.7, an edge of +1.2 before the signals.
- Ratings · DET +1.2
- Rest · DET +1.5
- The market's own numbers make this line 3.2 points too kind to NYJ; results move the number 2 toward NYJ, from DET giving 9.7 to NYJ to DET giving 7.7 to NYJ.
- DET come in on 10 days' rest to NYJ's 7.
DET giving 6.5 to NYJ, and this desk takes DET. The gap says the market's own numbers make this line 3.2 points too kind to NYJ, and the form has already moved the number 2 points toward NYJ, from DET giving 9.7 down to 7.7 — our number still sits 1.2 points better than the posted line. Add DET coming in on 10 days' rest against NYJ's 7, and both signals point the same direction. DET's 0-2-0 against the spread record means nothing here; this is a live 3-star Sharp side, and the number, not the record, is why.
From the Sharp Model, off the numbers on this card and nothing else.
Line history4 pulls
DET: opened −6.5 · taken at −6.5 · now −6.5
The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on our side. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.