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Sharp Six

PHI at TEN

Week 2 · Final

Away

PHI

Philadelphia Eagles

24

Home

TEN

Tennessee Titans

20

The line it closed on

Spread

PHI −7

Total 39.5

Implied points

PHI
23.3
TEN
16.3

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

Wind 3 mph, 2% chance of rain, 90°F at kickoff: under the start/sit thresholds, so the calls below carry no weather adjustment.

No pull of the books holds this game yet.

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on TEN. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

PHI at TEN

Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET★★☆☆☆

TEN +7

Right · +3.0

Market PHI −7 over TEN. The market’s own numbers had too few lines to price this game. Results add 1.7 toward TEN. Our number TEN +5.3, an edge of +1.7 before the signals. Backtest: run after the game, against the closing line.

  • Ratings · TEN +1.7· right
  • Public · TEN +1.0· right
  • Too few lines on the season for the market's own numbers to weigh in, so the line stands as the number; results add 1.7 toward TEN.
  • 92% of the spread money is on PHI. That is a point to TEN.

Final: PHI 24 at TEN 20

Line history

Backtest pick: priced off the closing line.

A backtest was made after the game against the closing line, so there is no pull to draw and no close to beat.

Start/sit, week 2

Philadelphia Eagles

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Jalen Hurts21.2Start

Andy Dalton0.0Avoid

Cole Payton0.0Out

Tanner McKee0.0Out

RB
Saquon Barkley15.0Must start

Tank Bigsby3.5Bench

Will Shipley2.3Bench

Carson Steele0.0Avoid

Dameon Pierce0.0Avoid

Jaydon Blue0.0Avoid

WR
DeVonta Smith14.8Must start

Dontayvion Wicks8.0Flex

Makai Lemon6.3Bench

Marquise Brown2.1Bench

Darius Cooper0.5Avoid

Britain Covey0.2Avoid

Elijah Moore0.0Out

Johnny Wilson0.0Out

Xavier Gipson0.0Avoid

TE
Dallas Goedert10.8Start

Johnny Mundt1.8Avoid

E.J. Jenkins0.0Avoid

Eli Stowers0.0Out

Grant Calcaterra0.0Out

Josiah Deguara0.0Avoid

Zach Ertz0.0Avoid

K
Jake Elliott6.0Avoid

Tennessee Titans

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Cam Ward13.5Bench

Hendon Hooker0.0Avoid

Mitchell Trubisky0.0Avoid

RB
Tony Pollard8.2Start

Tyjae Spears7.1Flex

Julius Chestnut0.4Bench

Kalel Mullings0.0Avoid

Michael Carter0.0Avoid

Nicholas Singleton0.0Avoid

WR
Carnell Tate8.1Flex

Wan'Dale Robinson7.3Flex

Calvin Ridley4.8Bench

Elic Ayomanor2.9Bench

Chimere Dike1.4Bench

Caleb Scott0.0Avoid

K.J. Osborn0.0Avoid

Tyren Montgomery0.0Avoid

Xavier Restrepo0.0Avoid

TE
Gunnar Helm6.5Flex

Daniel Bellinger4.1Bench

David Martin-Robinson0.0Avoid

Jaren Kanak0.0Out

Joel Wilson0.0Avoid

Kylen Granson0.0Out

K
Joey Slye4.6Avoid

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.