HOU at IND, Week 3: line, weather, start/sit and props

The line

Every book on the game lines

Spread

HOU −1.5

Total 42.5

Implied points

HOU: 22.0
IND: 20.5

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

Wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain, 71°F at kickoff: under the start/sit thresholds, so the calls below carry no weather adjustment.

IND: opened +3 · now +1.5 across 4 pulls

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on IND. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

On the picks page

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

HOU at IND

Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

IND +3

Market HOU −3 over IND. The market’s own numbers make this line 0.8 points too kind to IND. Results add 1.8 toward IND. Our number IND +2, an edge of +1.0 before the signals. Line now IND +1.5.

Ratings · IND +1.0

The market's own numbers make this line 0.8 points too kind to IND; results add 1.8 toward IND.

Line history4 pulls

IND: opened +3 · taken at +3 · now +1.5

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on our side. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

Start/sit, week 3

FFPC scoring. Other scoring on the weekly rankings

Houston Texans

Player	Sharp	Call
QB
C.J. Stroud	19.8	Flex
Davis Mills	0.0	Avoid
Graham Mertz	0.0	Out
RB
David Montgomery	16.2	Must start
Woody Marks	7.6	Flex
British Brooks	0.1	Avoid
Jawhar Jordan	0.0	Avoid
Noah Whittington	0.0	Avoid
WR
Nico Collins	14.2	Must start
Kayshon Boutte	8.0	Flex
Xavier Hutchinson	5.6	Bench
Jaylin Noel	4.0	Bench
Jared Wayne	1.2	Avoid
Bryce Oliver	0.0	Avoid
Daniel Sobkowicz	0.0	Avoid
Jayden Higgins	0.0	Out
Josh Kelly	0.0	Avoid
Lewis Bond	0.0	Avoid
Mitchell Tinsley	0.0	Avoid
Tank Dell	0.0	Out
TE
Dalton Schultz	13.5	Start
Foster Moreau	4.1	Bench
Marlin Klein	2.4	Avoid
Cade Stover	1.1	Avoid
Brevin Jordan	0.5	Avoid
Zaire Mitchell-Paden	0.0	Avoid
K
Ka'imi Fairbairn	8.7	Start

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Sharp	Call
QB
Daniel Jones	17.1	Bench
Anthony Richardson	0.0	Avoid
Jalen Morton	0.0	Avoid
Riley Leonard	0.0	Avoid
RB
Jonathan Taylor	17.9	Must start
Seth McGowan	1.5	Bench
DJ Giddens	0.4	Avoid
Davon Booth	0.0	Avoid
WR
Josh Downs	11.2	Start
Keenan Allen	7.2	Flex
Darius Slayton	2.9	Bench
Laquon Treadwell	2.6	Bench
Ashton Dulin	1.3	Bench
Deion Burks	0.7	Avoid
Al Riles	0.0	Avoid
Alec Pierce	0.0	Out
Anthony Gould	0.0	Avoid
D.J. Montgomery	0.0	Out
Eli Pancol	0.0	Avoid
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	0.0	Avoid
TE
Tyler Warren	11.9	Start
Mo Alie-Cox	1.3	Avoid
Drew Ogletree	0.5	Avoid
Carson Towt	0.0	Out
Jack Doyle	0.0	Avoid
Kenny Fletcher	0.0	Avoid
Pharaoh Brown	0.0	Avoid
Will Mallory	0.0	Out
K
Spencer Shrader	8.9	Start

Player props

This game on the props board

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.

Takes

All the news

Sep 25NFLTradeRumors.co
Colts WR Alec Pierce Expected To Miss 4-6 Weeks With Heel Injury - NFLTradeRumors.coBench
Alec Pierce is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a heel injury, per NFLTradeRumors.co.
Sep 25RotoBaller
Who Should I Trade For in Week 3? Rashee Rice, David Montgomery, Josh Downs, Kyren Williams, Luther Burden III, Chuba Hubbard - RotoBallerHold
RotoBaller runs a Week 3 trade-target column touching Rashee Rice, David Montgomery, Josh Downs, Kyren Williams, Luther Burden and Chuba Hubbard, with no new team or injury news attached to any of them.
Sep 25Sports Illustrated
Week 3 Fantasy Football Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: George Kittle VS Tyler Warren - Sports IllustratedStart
Sports Illustrated ran a Kittle-vs-Warren start/sit column for Week 3 TE decisions, with both TEs coming off solid Week 2 outings.
Sep 25ProFootballTalk
Charvarius Ward questionable, Ashton Dulin out for Colts-TexansNo action
Charvarius Ward is questionable but trending toward playing for the Colts against Houston, while Ashton Dulin is ruled out entirely.
Sep 25PrizePicks
Fantasy Football Week 3 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: Bo Nix or C.J. Stroud? - PrizePicksStart
PrizePicks debates starting Bo Nix or C.J. Stroud in Week 3 fantasy lineups.
Sep 25PrizePicks
NFL Week 3 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em TEs: Isaiah Likely vs. Dalton Schultz - PrizePicksStart
A start/sit column pits Isaiah Likely against Dalton Schultz at TE for Week 3, with both coming off wildly inconsistent opening weeks.