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Sharp Six

CAR at CLE

Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET

Away

CAR

Carolina Panthers

Home

CLE

Cleveland Browns

The wire

Spread

CAR −2.5

Total 42.5

Implied points

CAR
22.5
CLE
20.0

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

Wind 10 mph, 0% chance of rain, 66°F at kickoff: under the start/sit thresholds, so the calls below carry no weather adjustment.

CLE: opened +3 · now +2.5 across 4 pulls

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on CLE. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

CAR at CLE

Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET★☆☆☆☆

CLE +2.5

Market CAR −2.5 over CLE. The market’s own numbers make this line 1.4 points too kind to CLE. Results add 1.0 toward CLE. Our number CLE +2.9, an edge of −0.4 before the signals.

  • Ratings · CAR +0.4
  • Public · CLE +1.0
  • The market's own numbers make this line 1.4 points too kind to CLE; results add 1 toward CLE.
  • 79% of the spread money is on CAR. That is a point to CLE.
Line history4 pulls

CLE: opened +3 · taken at +2.5 · now +2.5

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on our side. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

Start/sit, week 3

Carolina Panthers

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Bryce Young18.4Flex

Haynes King0.0Avoid

Kenny Pickett0.0Avoid

RB
Chuba Hubbard14.2Start

AJ Dillon4.4Bench

Ahmani Marshall0.0Avoid

Anthony Tyus0.0Avoid

Jonathon Brooks0.0Out

Trevor Etienne0.0Out

WR
Tetairoa McMillan14.0Must start

Jalen Coker13.1Start

Xavier Legette4.2Bench

Brycen Tremayne1.0Avoid

John Metchie0.1Avoid

Casey Washington0.0Avoid

Chris Brazzell0.0Out

David Moore0.0Avoid

Ihmir Smith-Marsette0.0Avoid

Ja'seem Reed0.0Avoid

Micah Simon0.0Avoid

TE
Darren Waller9.2Flex

Tommy Tremble3.5Bench

Mitchell Evans1.9Avoid

Ja'Tavion Sanders0.3Avoid

Feleipe Franks0.1Avoid

Wyatt Houston0.0Avoid

K
Ryan Fitzgerald7.3Avoid

Alex Kessman0.0Avoid

Cleveland Browns

PlayerSharpCallWhy
QB
Deshaun Watson15.6Avoid

Dillon Gabriel0.0Out

Shedeur Sanders0.0Avoid

Taylen Green0.0Avoid

RB
Quinshon Judkins13.6Start

Raheim Sanders6.5Flex

Jaleel McLaughlin2.0Bench

Benny LeMay0.0Avoid

Dylan Sampson0.0Out

Eric Gray0.0Avoid

WR
Denzel Boston9.7Start

KC Concepcion9.2Flex

Jerry Jeudy5.9Bench

Isaiah Bond1.9Bench

Tylan Wallace0.7Avoid

Malachi Corley0.2Avoid

Bub Means0.0Avoid

Jimmy Horn0.0Avoid

TE
Harold Fannin10.9Start

Blake Whiteheart2.6Avoid

Carsen Ryan0.3Avoid

Joe Royer0.0Out

Messiah Swinson0.0Avoid

K
Andre Szmyt6.4Avoid

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.