MIN at TB, Week 3: line, weather, start/sit and props

The line

Every book on the game lines

Spread

MIN −1.5

Total 42.5

Implied points

MIN: 22.0
TB: 20.5

Half the total, plus half the points each side gives.

Weather

Wind 4 mph, 1% chance of rain, 85°F at kickoff: under the start/sit thresholds, so the calls below carry no weather adjustment.

TB: opened +1.25 · now +1.5 across 4 pulls

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on TB. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

The Sharp Model’s side

On the picks page

A lean: the side the numbers point to, under three stars and counted nowhere

MIN at TB

Sun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET★★☆☆☆

TB +1.5

Market MIN −1.5 over TB. The market’s own numbers make this line 5.3 points too kind to MIN. Results add 2.0 toward MIN. Our number TB −1.8, an edge of +3.3 before the signals.

Ratings · TB +3.3

The market's own numbers make this line 5.3 points too kind to MIN; results add 2 toward MIN.

Line history4 pulls

TB: opened +1.25 · taken at +1.5 · now +1.5

The median spread across the books at each pull we hold, on our side. The first pull is where our history starts, not the book’s own opener.

Start/sit, week 3

FFPC scoring. Other scoring on the weekly rankings

Minnesota Vikings

Player	Sharp	Call
QB
Kyler Murray	20.0	Start
Carson Wentz	0.0	Avoid
J.J. McCarthy	0.0	Avoid
Max Brosmer	0.0	Avoid
RB
Aaron Jones	11.6	Start
DeeJay Dallas	3.5	Bench
Demond Claiborne	2.5	Bench
Max Bredeson	0.1	Avoid
Jaret Patterson	0.0	Avoid
Jerome Ford	0.0	Avoid
Jordan Mason	0.0	Out
WR
Justin Jefferson	17.0	Must start
Jordan Addison	9.4	Start
Jauan Jennings	7.1	Flex
Tai Felton	1.9	Bench
Myles Price	0.1	Avoid
Dillon Bell	0.0	Avoid
Dontae Fleming	0.0	Avoid
Jeshaun Jones	0.0	Out
Michael Briscoe	0.0	Avoid
TE
T.J. Hockenson	11.7	Start
Josh Oliver	3.2	Bench
Ben Yurosek	0.0	Out
Cam Grandy	0.0	Avoid
Gavin Bartholomew	0.0	Avoid
Marshall Lang	0.0	Avoid
K
Will Reichard	8.0	Flex

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	Sharp	Call
QB
Baker Mayfield	17.4	Bench
Easton Stick	0.0	Avoid
Garrett Greene	0.0	Avoid
Jalon Daniels	0.0	Avoid
RB
Bucky Irving	13.6	Start
Kenny Gainwell	7.1	Flex
Sean Tucker	0.4	Avoid
Josh Williams	0.0	Avoid
WR
Emeka Egbuka	10.2	Start
Chris Godwin	10.0	Start
Ted Hurst	5.8	Bench
Jalen McMillan	2.3	Bench
Tez Johnson	2.1	Bench
Kameron Johnson	0.5	Avoid
David Sills	0.0	Out
Dean Patterson	0.0	Avoid
Eric Rivers	0.0	Avoid
TE
Cade Otton	8.6	Flex
Payne Durham	0.2	Avoid
Bauer Sharp	0.1	Avoid
CJ Dippre	0.0	Avoid
Darren Fells	0.0	Avoid
Devin Culp	0.0	Avoid
Ko Kieft	0.0	Avoid
K
Chase McLaughlin	7.7	Bench

Player props

This game on the props board

No prop lines for this game yet. The Thursday game is pulled on Thursday at 20:10 UTC and every other game on Saturday at 22:10 UTC, with an extra Saturday pull at 16:00 UTC for the Saturday games of weeks 15 to 18, and a pull skips itself when the month’s request budget is low.

Takes

All the news

Sep 25RotoWire NFL
Aaron Jones: Will play SundayStart
Kevin O'Connell said Friday that Aaron Jones (knee) will be available for Sunday's game at Tampa Bay, per Alec Lewis of The Athletic via RotoWire.
Sep 25ProFootballTalk
Dre'Mont Jones out, Craig Woodson and Eli Raridon questionable for Week 3Hold
ProFootballTalk reports the Patriots will be without Dre'Mont Jones in Week 3, with safety Craig Woodson and tight end Eli Raridon listed as questionable. New England travels to Jacksonville as 3.0-point underdogs in a 45.5-point total.
Sep 25ProFootballTalk
Kyler Murray: I've never had an issue protecting myself, concussion was an awkward playBench
Kyler Murray has been cleared and will start for the Vikings against the Buccaneers, per ProFootballTalk, and says the Week 1 concussion was an awkward play rather than a habit of exposing himself.
Sep 25ESPN
Vikings' Aaron Jones Sr. (knee) cleared to play vs. Buccaneers - ESPNStart
Aaron Jones has no injury designation and is fully cleared for Week 3 against Tampa Bay, per ESPN.
Sep 25A to Z Sports
Vikings Final Injury Report: Aaron Jones' status revealed, while two key Buccaneers defenders are set to miss the game - A to Z SportsHold
A to Z Sports reports Aaron Jones' status is settled on the Vikings' final injury report ahead of their game at Tampa Bay, while two Buccaneers defenders are ruled out. The excerpt does not specify Jones' actual designation.
Sep 25Sports Illustrated
Aaron Jones cleared to play for Week 3 vs. Buccaneers. What does this mean for fantasy football managers? - Sports IllustratedHold
Sports Illustrated reports Aaron Jones has been cleared to play in Week 3 against Tampa Bay. Minnesota are 1.5-point favourites in a 42.5-point total.